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Monday, February 17, 2014

Trading Strategy for 17th February 2014


Nifty trading in 5990-6065 range. Hedger able to protect 6000.

Friday Morning we had written that Nifty 6000 Put Open Interest reach near to 97 Lakh in falling market. Hedgers in market want to protect 6000 in view of expiry. We have boldly written that to sell below 5990. It made a low of 5992.35  and take U-Turn in Nifty Fut.   

Market may volatile today. There is a resistance around 6140-6166 in upside.  Bull only in upper hand above 6166. Two consecutive closes above 6166 then the correction will assume to be over. On Friday open interest in both Call & Put comes down. This indicates that there is confusion in market. On Friday Nifty able to recover from lower level but there is a continuous selling by FII’s. So better to wait for a Range breakout in market i.e. 5980-6150.

In Intraday, better to buy above 6094 for the target of 6127 and Sell Below 6015 for the Target of 6003-5970.

Overnight US Market close in Red Dow 16,154.39 (+126.8) (+0.79%)
Asian Market in Green ………
SGX NIIFTY 6084 (+22) is up. 
PUT CALL Ration (OI) of Nifty 26 Feb Contracts              :  1.06

OPEN INTEREST DEVELOPMENT IN NIFTY CALL / PUT   

                             

INDIA VIX 
A falling VIX means that there is lower uncertainty and market confidence is high and most of the time direction of trend is clear. A rising VIX shows there is a lot of uncertainty in the markets and price action is expected to be very volatile or sensitive in the coming days.
I will recommend to trade only when the VIX is moving lower and a level below 20 is ok for trading. But if the VIX goes above 20 it means the chances of reversal in the short term trend is very high and large sudden moves could be expected.




 FII Activity 



FII Activity 14-Feb-2014 
Cash Segment(Provisional):
FII’s                :  -16 Crores
DII’s               :  -45 Crores
Derivative Segment(Provisional):
Index Futures              : -115 Crores
Index Options             : -349 Crores
Stock Futures             : +97.23 Crores
Stock Options            : -49.85 Crores
Data is taken from the NSE website. 



MECHANICAL TRADER SIGNAL
UPDATED ON 14-Feb-14, 7:00pm ( START ON 03.02.14)
 NSE INDEX FEB FUTURE INDIA TRENDS

CURRENT      11-Feb-14
DAILY SIGNAL GENERATED
TODAY'S PROFIT /LOSS
NET +/-        (FROM 03-Feb-14)
HOURLY SIGNAL GENERATED
TODAY'S PROFIT /LOSS
NET +/- (FROM 03-Feb-14)
DATE
Position
LEVEL
S/L
DATE
Position
LEVEL
S/L
NIFTY FUT
6058
13.12.14
SELL
6048
6120
-53
-58
14.02.14
BUY
6038
6008
-13
43
BANK NIFTY FUT
10240
13.12.14
SELL
10370
10390
-95
130
13.02.14
SELL
10209
10235
-33
306
OPEN POSITION
NIFTY FUT
6058
13.12.14
SELL
6048
6120


14.02.14
BUY
6038
6008


BANK NIFTY FUT
10240
13.12.14
SELL
10370
10390


13.02.14
BUY
10209
10096


TODAY'S TRADE (14-Feb-14)
NIFTY FUT
6058






14.02.14
SQ.OFF
6038

-33









14.02.14
BUY
6038
6008
20

BANK NIFTY FUT
10145






14.02.14
SQ.OFF
10209
10235
-64


10240






14.02.14
BUY
10209
10096
31



OPEN INTEREST IN NIFTY (CALL/PUT)

OPEN INTEREST IN NIFTY (CALL/PUT)

INDIA VIX

INDIA VIX
A falling VIX means that there is lower uncertainty and market confidence is high and most of the time direction of trend is clear. A rising VIX shows there is a lot of uncertainty in the markets and price action is expected to be very volatile or sensitive in the coming days. I will recommend to trade only when the VIX is moving lower and a level below 20 is ok for trading. But if the VIX goes above 20 it means the chances of reversal in the short term trend is very high and large sudden moves could be expected.

FII Activity

FII Activity

FII’s & DIIs Activity

FII’s Activity

FII’s Activity 05-August-2014

Cash Segment (Provisional):

FII’s

+52.85 Crores

DII’s

+62.22 Crores

Derivative Segment (Provisional)

Index Futures

-201.35 Crores

Index Options

+665.73 Crores

Stock Futures

+108.16 Crores

Stock Options

+14.91 Crores

Data is taken from the NSE website.

DISCLAIMER

The information given here is solely for technical purpose and is no where an invitation to undertake trades based on the information. Stock trading is risky. Please consult your financial advisor before undertaking any trading based on the information. The blog owner will not be held responsible for any losses suffered due to usage of information.

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