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Wednesday, February 19, 2014

Trading Strategy for 19th February 2014


Nifty rally reaches resistance level but closing above 6166 is a decisive breakout...


Yesterday boldly written to buy Nifty Fut. above 6103. Market nonstop rally above 6103 and made a high of 6156.


There is a Short position in Index fut. by FII’s from start of the series. So in view of expiry, if short covers, than fast up moves come in market. Yesterday open interest in 6200 CALL & 6100 CALL comes down.
Open interest comes down yesterday in up moving market. Now Market movement may remain choppy.Last three days prices are closing near its High.  Rally is only possible above 6145-6165. Rally is possible towards the resistance zone up to 6300.  

In Intraday, better to buy above 6154 for the target of 6162-6175-6099 and Sell Below 6112 for the Target of 6100-6092.

Overnight US Market close in Red Dow 16,130 (-23.99) (-0.15%)
Asian Market in Flat to Red ………

PUT CALL Ration (OI) of Nifty 26 Feb Contracts              :  1.15

OPEN INTEREST DEVELOPMENT IN NIFTY CALL / PUT



                                

INDIA VIX 
A falling VIX means that there is lower uncertainty and market confidence is high and most of the time direction of trend is clear. A rising VIX shows there is a lot of uncertainty in the markets and price action is expected to be very volatile or sensitive in the coming days.
I will recommend to trade only when the VIX is moving lower and a level below 20 is ok for trading. But if the VIX goes above 20 it means the chances of reversal in the short term trend is very high and large sudden moves could be expected.



 FII Activity 




FII Activity 18-Feb-2014 
Cash Segment(Provisional):
FII’s                :  +292.23 Crores
DII’s               :  -155 Crores
Derivative Segment(Provisional):
Index Futures              : +625 Crores
Index Options             : +955 Crores
Stock Futures             : -288 Crores
Stock Options            : -45.23 Crores
Data is taken from the NSE website. 


MECHANICAL TRADER SIGNAL
UPDATED ON 18-Feb-14, 7:00pm ( START ON 03.02.14)
 NSE INDEX FEB FUTURE INDIA TRENDS

CURRENT      11-Feb-14
DAILY SIGNAL GENERATED
TODAY'S PROFIT /LOSS
NET +/-        (FROM 03-Feb-14)
HOURLY SIGNAL GENERATED
TODAY'S PROFIT /LOSS
NET +/- (FROM 03-Feb-14)
DATE
Position
LEVEL
S/L
DATE
Position
LEVEL
S/L
NIFTY FUT
6138
18.02.14
BUY
6095
6045
54
-37
14.02.14
BUY
6038
6116
47
123
BANK NIFTY FUT
10571
18.02.14
BUY
10350
10250
213
241
13.02.14
BUY
10209
10500
229
637
OPEN POSITION
NIFTY FUT
6138
18.02.14
BUY
6095
6080


14.02.14
BUY
6038
6116


BANK NIFTY FUT
10571
18.02.14
BUY
10350
10250


13.02.14
BUY
10209
10200


TODAY'S TRADE (18-Feb-14)
NIFTY FUT
6138
18.02.14
SQ.OFF
6095

-4

NIL







18.02.14
BUY
6095
6080
58







BANK NIFTY FUT
10571
18.02.14
SQ.OFF
10350

-8

NIL







18.02.14
BUY
10350
10250
221







No comments:

OPEN INTEREST IN NIFTY (CALL/PUT)

OPEN INTEREST IN NIFTY (CALL/PUT)

INDIA VIX

INDIA VIX
A falling VIX means that there is lower uncertainty and market confidence is high and most of the time direction of trend is clear. A rising VIX shows there is a lot of uncertainty in the markets and price action is expected to be very volatile or sensitive in the coming days. I will recommend to trade only when the VIX is moving lower and a level below 20 is ok for trading. But if the VIX goes above 20 it means the chances of reversal in the short term trend is very high and large sudden moves could be expected.

FII Activity

FII Activity

FII’s & DIIs Activity

FII’s Activity

FII’s Activity 05-August-2014

Cash Segment (Provisional):

FII’s

+52.85 Crores

DII’s

+62.22 Crores

Derivative Segment (Provisional)

Index Futures

-201.35 Crores

Index Options

+665.73 Crores

Stock Futures

+108.16 Crores

Stock Options

+14.91 Crores

Data is taken from the NSE website.

DISCLAIMER

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